Jun 13, 2020 Roulette is one of the most exciting casino games out there — and that should be enough for you. When you go online with the aim to win money on roulette every time you play, you make a mistake. Don't play roulette. Play the pass line in craps. 5.26% house edge vs 1.42% house edge. Heck, play ANY game other than roulette. Even the carnival gae like Ultimate Texas Hold Em and Chase the Flush have lower house edges than roulette. I will never understand the allure of that game.
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If you ask any scientist or mathematician on how to beat roulette, the will most probably tell you that the best way not to lose is not to play. Mathematically speaking, the probabilities in roulette are fixed. But is that really right? Is there a mathematical or scientific method you can use to predict the outcome of a roulette wheel?
In 2012, Chi Kong and Michael Small from Cornel University submitted a scientific paper titled “Predicting the Outcome of Roulette” (https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.6412). The paper claimed that you can actually predict the outcome of a roulette game by using the chaos theory. What is the chaos theory, you ask? 100 games in 1 app.
Chaos Theory
Chaos theory is a branch of mathematics that studies the behavior of dynamical systems that are unpredictable but highly sensitive to their initial conditions. Chaos, in reference to this theory refers to an apparent lack of order and predictability in a system that nevertheless obeys particular rules and laws.
A perfect example that describes how a small change at one particular point can greatly influence the sate of things at a later instance is the butterfly effect.
For instance, if a butterfly flaps its wings in Brazil, it can set off a chain reaction of events that end up causing a Typhoon in New York. This theory was first proposed by an American mathematician called Edward Lorenz (https://geoffboeing.com/publications/nonlinear-chaos-fractals-prediction/).
How To Win At Roulette: Bets And Strategy Tips To Beat Roulette
Chaotic behavior exists all around us. The weather, climate, and road traffic are some of the famous examples, and then there is the roulette wheel. But can you really predict the outcome of a roulette wheel using the Chaos theory? Wouldn’t that be great?
In their paper, Chi Kong and Small claim to have modeled a motion of the ball and wheel and managed to predict the outcomes based on the wheel’s rotary speed, where the ball entered the wheel and so on. All these were done both on a simulated wheel and an actual roulette wheel. According to the scientists, if you know the starting set up, you can beat the odds.
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Using Chaos Theory to beat roulette
How it works Biggest casino winner.
The researchers offered a simpler method that gamblers can actually use to increase their chances of winning. The first step is to try to determine the velocity of the ball. After there, you can extrapolate where the ball could land. In their research, the two scientists were able to turn the 2.7% return of a typical roulette into 18% return, which was quite impressive.
They also indicated that if you manage to find a casino table which is somewhat crooked or a roulette wheel with bias, it can be easier to make solid predictions about where the ball could land. Finding these loopholes might be easier than you may think. The natural course of the game means that the roulette will eventually end up slightly tilted with time. A slight change in the foundation of the table could also make the table slightly angled. While this might not be easily noticeable with naked eyes, by carefully paying attention and observing, it could benefit you.
But don’t get too excited just yet. Using Chaos Theory to beat roulette is that as straightforward as it sounds. Why? Most casinos tend to check the balance of their roulette wheels and calibrate their tables constantly. Casinos that notice unrealistically higher win rates will often do everything within their power to find out if the physics of the wheel and the table are working against them.
Wait, so does it really work?
Even though the chaos theory seems to work quite impressively in research, we need to remember that this was not done in an actual casino setting, so there are a few drawbacks. First, casinos will not look favorably on you measuring their wills with cameras and computers. In fact, there have been quite a number of people taken to court by doing exactly this. Security and surveillance in casinos is also getting tighter and tighter. They actually look out for any kind of electronic tracking mechanisms.
Secondly, the chaos theory is physics based, which only applies to the physical casinos. When it comes to online gambling, physics does not apply; there is no literal ball and no lateral wheel, so any calculations involving velocity are completely useless. The wheels that spin in the online roulette are computer generated and the results arise from random number generators, more like the slot machines’ results.
So yes, using Chaos Theory to beat roulette actually works; it’s only limited by the challenges of acquiring the required parameters in a real casino setting. Ideally, if you can sneak past the surveillance cameras and the mean looking bouncers, you can attempt to spin luck your way. But then again, you will need a lot of time in practice to actually master this cheat in real casinos, and this luxury of time is what you don’t have. So quite frankly, chaos theory is not practical in real casinos.
References
1. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.6412
Megabucks payout schedule. 2. https://geoffboeing.com/publications/nonlinear-chaos-fractals-prediction/
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'How to Take Down a Casino', also called 'How to Beat a Casino' or 'How to Beat the Casino',[nb 1] is the fourth and final special in British psychological illusionist Derren Brown's The Events television series. The episode featured both live and pre-recorded segments, and showed Brown attempting to win £175,000 by placing money that he had taken from a member of the public on a roulette wheel[3] in an undisclosed European casino.
The special was broadcast on Channel 4 in the United Kingdom on 2 October 2009, when it received over two million viewers. It gained attention due to the stunt's failure at the end of the programme, and creator Derren Brown's apologetic posts and YouTube video.
Events[edit]
Broadcasting live from a van in an undisclosed location in Europe, Derren Brown tells viewers that he will bet £5000 taken from a member of the public on a single casinoroulette wheel number. He plans to win £175,000 for the person from whom he took the money.
A pre-recorded segment is shown: Brown demonstrates 'taking a gamble' by getting an audience member to choose from four cans of aerosol paint; she sprays two empty cans into the faces of Derren and another audience member, one filled with water into her own face, and a fourth, containing paint, onto a stencil predicting the order in which she would choose them.
A film called 'The Expert' is played, in which The Real Hustle'sPaul Wilson demonstrates illegal sleight of hand tricks used in the card gameblackjack and discusses the possibility of using concealed computers to calculate the ball's movements; Brown concludes that, because computers would be detected, he must perform the calculation in his head.
After an advertising break, Derren speaks over a map of Europe, saying that they cannot film due to the risk of their location being recognised. In another pre-recorded segment, Brown explores the concept of luck and the notion that 'lucky' people are those who take more opportunities. He plays a game involving two audience members involving two matchboxes and a £20 note: the unlucky person ends up with it, but an instruction to give it to the other person is written on the note.
In a film called 'Speed', Derren meets with Timothy Westwood and a member of the Sussex Police. Brown estimates the speed of cars on a busy motorway—he says that he uses triangulation; his guesses are confirmed to be exactly accurate using a speed gun.
The recorded segment ends as Brown says that he is about to telephone the viewer: after a failed attempt to dial, he gets through to Ben—a camera crew outside Ben's house films through a window as Derren guides him out of his house and into a production truck. A clip is shown of Brown putting Ben into a trance and instructing him to withdraw £5000 from his bank.
Another film, 'Trajectory', is shown: Derren attempts to mentally calculate the trajectory of a ball thrown into a squash court and predict where it lands on a numbered grid: he correctly selects the number 37 just after the ball is thrown. In a recorded clip, Brown demonstrates the method he will use to keep track of the ball by tapping his feet. He thanks viewers for watching the Events series, and passes over to a live feed inside the casino, filmed using concealed cameras. Brown bets on number eight, but the ball lands on the adjacent 30; he apologises to Ben for being 'one off', and promises to return his £5000.
Broadcast and reception[edit]
The programme was first broadcast on Channel 4 on 2 October 2009 at 9 pm,[4] and later made available on the channel's catch-up service, 4oD;[2] it ran for one hour, including three advertising breaks. According to BARB, the special was viewed by 2.18 million people.[1]
After the broadcast, Derren Brown said on his blog that he was 'still reeling from tonight's escapade', but that 'I called Ben as soon as I could and he doesn't hate me'.[5] Several days later, Brown posted a video on YouTube in which he impersonated Family Guy's Stewie Griffin and self-deprecatingly called the ending an 'epic fail', saying that he 'fucked it up';[6] the Mirror newspaper called the video 'bizarre'.[7]
Heidi Stephens of The Guardian, however, praised the anti-climactic ending, saying that 'Losing was a risky strategy, but brilliant' and calling Brown a 'master of surprise'.[4]
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